i think you guys will see both type, class of hunters diminish this year, not wishing bad attendance on any one's state, but when outfitter's peak out at 200-300+ a day fee to provide lodging and a 3 bird day limit, well, value is a word that comes to my mind.....if you have a good deal of discretionary income, you still might find value and prestige in telling your buddies you dropped 1200 or 1500 hundred on a SD pheasant hunt, but for many others, (those not so well heeled) fighting over public ground, after making a long drive, sometimes does not equate to value....it just depends. it depends on the number of birds available, access and distance, especially if driving from other states, with dogs, etc. the point i am making is to have access to hunt SD almost requires paying a trespass fee, which is not a bad or unfair thing, unless you don't get to see many birds on top of that and have no true opportunity to shoot a limit, everyday.....i have been down that road and didn't enjoy the trip.
as for giving a rosy forecast, SD is not the only state prone to do that...it seldom is ever as good as anyone sez it is..