I always look forward to the annual report, but I know I am going to go to SD regardless of what this report says every year. Why, because no matter how bad the speculation is, I'll still see more pheasants in 4 or 5 days of hunting in SD, than I will see all year in Illinois.
Historically, I have found this report to be directionally correct with what I have experienced in terms of birds seen in the field.
I think the sad fact that we are all struggling with is the loss of CRP. I don't care how favorable the nesting and winter conditions are. Loss of habitat is going to mean less birds, period.... The trend line is going to get worse, as more and more CRP comes out and goes back into row crops. Unfortunately, the only thing that is going to improve the CRP program is simple economics. If corn gets under $3 per bushel, the farm lobby will really push CRP, and we have a glimmer of hope for improved habitat conditions.
Worse case scenario for me is I shoot a few less birds, maybe drink a few more beers. I'm still taking my annual road trip to have some fun and see old friends.