Where I live the easterns I hunt will sometimes use the same roost until the first time theyre shot at near it. Theres also farmers bumpimg them out haying a field at dark, coyotes, bobcats, fox, farm dogs or someone riding a dirt bike through area to change things. Nothing is better than the night before roosting. Its the only current info thats fairly reliable and not doing this is why so many have their best times as mid day.
For instance you set uo you think to roost, the birds are 200 yards away but i saw/heard them fly up. Im 60 yards away from him. By the time you think a hunt is about to start you hear a bang.
Next guy walks in. Hears gobbling out yonder. Has to stay back a bit cause the birds are obviously awake. As hes yelping “just letting them know hes there” I was 60 yards away again. They fly down, bang.
Doesnt always work like this but given a choice where would you sit? Where the birds def flew up last night or where you think they will? The next thing is no way no how I’d ever go in that late. Another scenario. Youre wife walks into the room at 1:00am. Youre sound asleep and dont notice. She comes in 1/2hr before you wake. You hear her. Another thing is how many birds gobble way before daylight? A bunch. Theyre awake and can see/hear below them. In the past if i roosted a bird. Id just go home, get my gear and sleep in the woods near him. Now, honestly, 2:30-3:30 dependent on mooight, tree cover etc is as last as id show up to hunt.
Hope that made sense