DOGE, Farm Bill & CRP

parkerman

New member
I think most will agree that during the ramp of of the CRP program in the late 1980's thru 2008 or so the mid west pheasant population exploded and then quickly halved when significant acres were eliminated. It seems to have stabilized and improved a bit in the past few years . . . but now I wonder if we're approaching a huge inflection point. With the reality of DOGE I can't help but believe the next soon to occur farm bill is going to be "something completely different" than the variations in the past 30 years. Though I hope it ain't so, I just can't believe that the current trend is going to maintain paying farmers to do any type of "conservation", let alone get paid to not produce. My gut says CRP is going to be gutted and the pheasant population, like in the decades between the 1960's soil bank program and CRP, will fall from the sky faster and harder than a direct hit with #5 copper coated shot. On the other hand, maybe tariffs will collapse demand and the heavily subsidized crop insurance will be eliminated, ending years of marginal land farming. I don't know, but Pheasants Forever and Ducks Unlimited, upland hunters main political protectors, ain't saying a thing, I've gone thru their websites and news releases . . . nada comments. So what do you think . . . is their a freight train a coming?
 
I guess thats why they call it hunting not killing. The birds will survive and I hope Doge does too.
This site is a breath of fresh air in a smog filled social media environment. We all should take care to keep partisan politics from creeping into our messages.

To the topic: I am starting two new projects this year, using CRP and an EQUIP. I have a family member with the USDA. If the programs survive in one shape or another the staff to administer them may be missing.

Farm bills seem to get extended without changes these days, maybe a new bill will be written that eliminates the conservation programs, or maybe the funding will be cut, time will tell.

The birds will not survive without the habitat. Pay operations will thrive, maybe it’s time to think about that route. Kinda nice retirement job for an old farmer/sportsman.

Edit: I have not been reimbursed for any money spent on these projects because they haven’t been completed, hopefully that won’t be an issue.
 

Who cares if pheasants become endangered. Trump Officials Says It's Okay to Destroy Endangered Species Because We Can Just Clone Them. You can't make that this stuff up. OMG wildlife is in trouble.​

We all should take care to keep partisan politics from creeping into our messages.
 
This site is a breath of fresh air in a smog filled social media environment. We all should take care to keep partisan politics from creeping into our messages.

To the topic: I am starting two new projects this year, using CRP and an EQUIP. I have a family member with the USDA. If the programs survive in one shape or another the staff to administer them may be missing.

Farm bills seem to get extended without changes these days, maybe a new bill will be written that eliminates the conservation programs, or maybe the funding will be cut, time will tell.

The birds will not survive without the habitat. Pay operations will thrive, maybe it’s time to think about that route. Kinda nice retirement job for an old farmer/sportsman.

Edit: I have not been reimbursed for any money spent on these projects because they haven’t been completed, hopefully that won’t be an issue.
Always a voice of reason… some of us appreciate it
 
If they end CRP, then end price support subsidies too. Maybe the only thing the USDA supports is crop insurance ... and that could possibly go all private too.

Or create a system where only small to mid-size farms are protected through these programs ... program phases out once a certain number of acres are enrolled. Create a system of audits and checks so that large corporate farms cannot run shell companies to enhance subsidy payments.
 
Price supports also support the destruction of habitat. If farmers know they won't lose their azz planting some marginal ground, they will farm it. But if they have to shell out big for seed and fertilizer and fuel, they will think twice and many won't take the risk.

Get rid of govt crop insurance as well. It incentivizes the same thing. If you want insurance, the insurers will sell it to you at a price that makes sense.

What happened in FLA with wind insurance is an example. Govt jumped into the market, people built homes in hurricane alley like crazy and paid way below the risk rates for insurance. Now that the govt insurers are all belly up, the true costs of insuring those homes is being realized. My house in FLA used to cost $6500/yr to insure (wind, flood and homeowners). After the state sponsored insurer collapsed, the the new premiums are $26,000/yr. That makes far more sense to me.
 
So what I am hearing in this thread is if the AG industry operated in a real free market we( bird Hunters) would generally benefit? That's a heavy lift here or anywhere ie; Canada s very subsidized .
 
Protect the small, mid-size and family farms. Large corporate and foreign owned farms should not be subsidized.

CRP is supposed to provide primarily two benefits
> remove land from production ... albeit it is usually lower productive land that is removed ... that said total "corn" harvested in theory decreases with less acres planted ... thereby improving prices ... this in turn lowers subsidies paid out.

> protect the environment by taking out land prone to erosion (wind, water, etc) and create habitat for wildlife

Added benefits
> provides landowners and farmers a base income in years of severe drought, flooding, hail, etc... that destroy their crops

> provides additional grass in emergency haying situations to help cattle ranchers regionally in drought situations
 
You can look up and see by state, county, and farmer (individual or corporation) for the subsidies (broken out by type) they receive ... All public information.
 
We're too far down the "Big Ag" road to stop the diminishing of the small to medium size farm operations...UNLESS they can survive near urban areas where there is viable off-farm income to give the farm family affordable health insurance and a meaningful addition to defray family living costs. And in most of South Dakota-Nebraska etc. that I've been in, those "urban areas" are hard to find. Crop insurance or no, if direct costs for 250 bu./acre corn are approaching$650/$700/acre, and land costs are $250/acre cash rent (these land costs are just example costs; rent and farm mortgage payments are all over the place!) you have $1,000/acre total costs....and 250 bushel yields X $4/bu. corn equals $1,000 so it's breakeven again. And who knows what yields and prices really will be if there is a widespread drought? Sure, corn could be $5/bu. but yields could be 125 bu. and THAT math just ain't going to work! And that doesn't count the cost of machinery replacement/depreciation. If you think food prices are high NOW, just cut the ag subsidies.
As a former ag banker, my sympathies are solidly behind the farmer. Farmers grow the food that feeds us all. As much as I love it, bird hunting is a "want" and a privilege. Food is a MUST. DOGE hasn't eliminated CRP, Equip, etc. yet. But I agree we need to watch closely to monitor upcoming events.
 
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