I think declining CRP is finally, and observably, catching up with us. We've had good years, weather-wise, and individuals who observe their own well-tended properties are seeing good hatches and bird populations. But state-wide, or even region-wide within a state, the decline in habitat ultimately means fewer overall birds, whatever individuals may see in those areas that still remain good habitat. That decline is now showing up in the surveys. And with Iowa's survey -- and in my opinion, South Dakota's as well -- the survey traditionally tracks the following year's harvest numbers quite closely. So I believe these losses are real, and accurately reflected in the counts, which cover the same routes year after year.
Who this really affects are non-resident hunters like me, who spend most of their time on MAPS or PLOTS parcels. Those seem to be the ones that are drying up the fastest. I'm amazed, comparing year-to-year, at the disappearing tracts where farmers are back to farming marginal plots. I don't blame them for it; every dollar is important to them. But at the end of the day, the loss of habitat trumps good weather cycles, over time. These declines will continue, I'm afraid, whatever good snow/moisture cycles may follow.