I've decreased my budget (a little ) on beer and increased on ammo
At best its an "It Depends" report. I have a friend in Tourism for the state and we talk about this issue all the time. The year the counts were down 65% he said he went back to his home town in Platte and has one of the best hunts of his life.
If that same person was from Illinois he may have opted out that year and missed a great hunt in that area. In other areas, maybe not. That year the counts were down there were very few dewy mornings in August.
It depends.
You guys that keep saying that there is a better way sure can never come up with one. The people conducting the counts and putting the numbers together are people who have gone to school for this and have degrees in this field. It's just like if you're having a house built and you think you know better than the contractor. There is a reason they do it the way they do. It's easy to say in an armchair but much harder to do if you're actually charged with doing it. Again, take it as an educated guess which is better than no guess at all in my opinion.
Is the survey accurate? Maybe, maybe not. There are a lot of factors that can vary the outcome. But the GFP has been doing it this was for a lot of years so if you change the method or criteria then all the previous results are useless. Take it for what it is. I think it's an attempt to paint a broad picture of the current year's bird numbers. And don't get too caught up in the percentage of increase/decrease. If bird numbers in an area go from 0.7 ppm to 1.2 ppm that is a 71% increase. However, the actual increase is really only 0.5 ppm. Hardly anything to crow about.
One of the data inconsistencies is how the overall percentage increases and decreases can be significant over the years but the bird per person harvest rate over the last 10 years has deviated very little for the 2 bird per person average.